Elias Pelcastre

Thoughts on Brexit, sixteen months away from departure day

So, in less than two years, the UK will out of the European Union. And like Father Ted comically says, “I can´t believe it”. But it is indeed happening, at least on paper.

The Brexit UK negotiator David Davis has just announced today Parliament will have the last word on the final deal reached with the EU27 before the official UK withdrawal from the EU on March 29, 2019. Although, crashing out of Europe is still on the cards.

Michel Barnier, who is in charge of negotiations between Europe and the UK, has set a two-week deadline to break what has been called a “deadlock”, or a failure of Britain to bring clarity over what Brexit means for over 18 months.

Clarity in three key areas before moving on to trade talks and getting closer to a final deal:

If the UK is not able to say how much a divorce bill is willing to foot before an EU summit mid-December, talks would be delayed until March, leaving just a year to ink a very complex negotiation – over 40 years of trade and legal framework tied to Europe.

Brexit

Theresa May is just following the voices of the Eurosceptic wing of her Conservative party that behind closed doors call the shots on Brexit, over fears she could face a leadership challenge.

David Davis’ announcement is just something to keep the “Remainers” happy, as many Leavers support a falling-off with the EU.

Last year, Institute for Fiscal Studies economist Andrew Hood said about Brexit:

The OBR’s (Office for Budget Responsibility) figures are for real GDP per household to be £1,250 lower in 2020-21, as a result of the vote to leave the EU.

Europeans are leaving the UK and with them, gaps in Britain’s workforce. A weak pound is hitting spending.

So, my thoughts? I wish a PM would come and drop the whole Brexit off. I’m not referring to Jeremy Corbyn, a Brexiteer in Pro-Europe disguise – a true Remainer that would stick it to the main Leave figures Boris Johnsson and Michael Gove’s lies.

Politics teaches us something valuable, though: that above all the lies politicians tell, there are always U-turns that help raw back after a stupid decision.